Brent settles near $110 as supply disruptions and low Hormuz flows lift prices
Brent crude settled at $109.86 a barrel on October 16, its highest close since May 19, after rising 3.7% that day and 4.9% for the week. The report attributes the move to supply concerns including an intercepted missile aimed at Saudi Arabia’s Yanbu export port and a Ukrainian drone strike that shut a unit at a Russian refinery; it also cites Hormuz flows running about a third below baseline. The U.S. asked companies to bid to borrow up to 17 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, while IEA members agreed to release more than 20 million barrels of diesel.
What changed The EIA raised its fourth-quarter Brent forecast by $14 to $105 a barrel between its September and October outlooks, reflecting an assumption of substantial Middle East shut-ins.
Why it matters For companies borrowing reserve crude, the exchange offers temporary supply relief but creates a repayment obligation. It is not a permanent addition to available supply.
What to watch next The October 21 EIA petroleum report will provide the next inventory reading after the reported 8.6 million-barrel draw.
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